Rebel Stakes Post Positions
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Rebel Stakes second leg of southwest was 5 lengths faster than first leg; Adirondack King was closing in fast on second leg. With a better post position and with the extra furlong, he is a contender in the Rebel. Post time for the 1 1/8-mile race is 6:48 and its Race 11 on the card. The Oaklawn Stakes can be seen on Fox Sports Saturday at the Races on FS1 from 1:30 - 7 p.m. EDT or on TVG Trackside Live.
*Rebel Stakes Post Position Draw
*2020 Rebel Stakes
For the first time ever, the Arkansas Derby will be run in split divisions on Saturday, May 2. The entry list for the Grade 1 race at Oaklawn Park grew to 22, but following two early week scratches, each race will have 10 runners. Churchill Downs will grant full qualifying points (100-40-20-10) for both divisions toward the rescheduled Kentucky Derby on Sept. 5.
The $1 million purse will be split in half this year with each division paying out $500,000.
Some Kentucky Derby contenders and horses to watch are running in this year’s Arkansas Derby. As the racing schedule changes and more preps added before the Kentucky Derby, we’ll get a chance to watch some of these runners again and evaluate their chances for making a Run for the Roses.Arkansas Derby key details
The Arkansas Derby (G1) will have 10 horses in each of the two divisions. The winner of each division race will earn 100 points to secure a spot in the starting gate for the rescheduled 2020 Kentucky Derby on Sept. 5. The Arkansas Derby runner-up may also secure a spot with 40 Derby points added to their total.
*Date: Saturday, May 2, 2020
*Time: Race 11 and Race 13 with Race 11 starting at 6:29 ET
*TV: 4-8 p.m. ET on TVG’s “Trackside Live” airing on its home network and also simulcast by NBCSN
*Online and Mobile: NBC Sports App and streamed live on NBCsports.com/live and TVG
*Track and Location: Oaklawn Park, Hot Springs, Arkansas
*Distance: 1 1/8 miles on dirt
*Field: Two divisions each with 10 3-year-old Thoroughbreds
*Prize Pool: $500,000 for each division with $320,000 to winners
*Road to the Kentucky Derby Points: 100-40-20-10 to top four finishers in each divisionArkansas Derby betting odds and post positionsDivision 1 (Post time 6:29 p.m. ET)PostHorseOpening OddsJockeyTrainer1Charlatan1/1Martin GarciaBob Baffert2My Friends Beer20/1Decan ClannonJeremiah O’Dwyer3Mo Mosa30/1Kendrick CarmoucheMike Maker4Gouverneur Morris9/2John VelazquezTodd Pletcher5Jungle Runner30/1Tyler BazeSteve Asmussen7Anneau d’ Or6/1Juan HernandezBlaine Wright8Winning Impression15/1Julien LeparouxDallas Stewart9Crypto Cash20/1Corey LanerieKen McPeek10Basin8/1Ricardo Santana, Jr.Steve AsmussenDivision 2 (Post time 7:43 p.m. ET)PostHorse Opening OddsJockeyTrainer1Finnick the Fierce15/1Martin GarciaRey Hernandez3Storm the Court6/1Flavien PratPeter Eurton4King Guillermo3/1Samuel Camacho, Jr.Juan Carlos Avila5Nadal5/2Joel RosarioBob Baffert6Code Runner50/1Stewart ElliottSteve Asmussen7Silver Prospector10/1Ricardo Santana, Jr.Steve Asmussen9Taishan15/1David CohenRichard Baltas10Farmington Road12/1Javier CastellanoTodd Pletcher11Wells Bayou7/2Florent GerouxBrad CoxArkansas Derby scratches
Following the early week post position draw, four horses have been scratched from the Arkansas Derby. Shooters Shoot (6/1) came down with a fever and caught a virus, which will keep him out of the first division along with Wrecking Crew (20/1). Fast Enough (12/1) was scratched from the second division after reaggravating a shin injury. Longshot Saratogian (50/1) was also removed from the field There are no alternates, so each division will have nine runners.Best Arkansas Derby betting siteOn DepositUse Promo Code LSRTVGHow to bet the Arkansas Derby
The best place to bet on this weekend’s races is on the TVG app, where you’ll receive a risk-free bet of up to $300 when you make your first deposit. That means if you lose your bet, you’ll get refunded in the form of a free bet bonus. The bonus must be used within 30 days of the conclusion of the race.
TVG offers an iOS app for Apple devices and a sleek browser site for Android users. If TVG is legal in your state, you can place your bets right on your phone, tablet or personal computer and follow the action online.Arkansas Derby betting strategy
Late Pick 3 and Pick 4 bettors can tie in both Arkansas Derby divisions along with the Grade II Oaklawn Handicap between them in Race 12. The Oaklawn Handicap features last year’s Kentucky Derby favorite Improbable and Tacitus, who finished third in the Kentucky Derby and second in the Belmont Stakes last year. Tacitus has finished in the money in 9 of 10 starts in America.
In the Arkansas Derby, Division 2 favorite Nadal (5/2) is undefeated and 3-for-3 having won his last race the Rebel Stakes (G2) wire-to-wire over a sloppy (sealed) surface by three quarters length as the 4/5 favorite. Nadal is trained by Bob Baffert and ships in from Santa Anita where he won his first two races including the San Vicente (G2) in February. He’ll be tough running on or near the lead, but will be pressed by Louisiana Derbywinner Wells Bayou (7/2), who’s not likely to hold up on the front this time going long. And any uneven run or uncomfortable pace will set up an off the pace horse to catch Nadal and run down fading Wells Bayou.
Silver Prospector (10/1) also runs in Division 2. He was a well-beaten sixth in the Rebel, but won the Southwest Stakes (G3) over a fast track. Silver Prospector also won the Kentucky Jockey Club (G1) last November over third-place finisher Tiz the Law, who won the 2020 Florida Derby. Deep closer Finnick the Fierce (15/1) shouldn’t be overlooked in the Division 2 race having run a close second behind Silver Prospector in the Kentucky Jockey Club and fourth in the Lecomte (G3). Storm the Court (6/1) won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) but has failed to impress as a 3-year-old. He finished fourth in the San Vicente (G2), never challenging the winner Nadal.
King Guillermo (3/1) presents a strong challenger in here and can sit just off the pace. He won his graded stakes debut as a longshot (49/1) in the Tampa Bay Derby as bettors wrote him off as a turf horse not capable on dirt. But this son of Uncle Mo is improving and likely legit.
Trainer Todd Pletcher has won a record five Arkansas Derbys and he’ll saddle Farmington Road (12/1), a deep closer who finished second in the Oaklawn Stakes on April 11 breaking from the outside post 13. He was five lengths clear of Basin (8/1), who’s a contender in the Division 1 race. Farmington Road also had a deep run to finish fourth in the Risen Star over a deep Fair Grounds track. Pletcher and the trainer to his outside, Brad Cox (with Wells Bayou), are both masters of masking how their horses are fed. We won’t go any deeper on that discussion, but it’s important to know these horses get better and stronger and can improve at the longer distances if fit and healthy. Farmington Road is fit and improving, and he also ran 1 1/8 mile races in each of his last two starts and was closing hard and making up ground in both races. Farmington Road is a good bet in exotics and a has a chance to pull the upset.
In the Division 1 race, favorite Charlatan (1/1) makes his stakes debut for trainer Bob Baffert and is 2-for-2 with both wins at Santa Anita. While Charlton is taking most the money, its another longshot that can close strong from off the pace to catch a piece of the board. Winning Impressions (15-1) rallied from the back and crossed the finish line first in front of Finnick the Fierce in an early April Allowance race at Oaklawn, but was disqualified for drifting in late to cost the favorite a piece. Winning Impression should have a solid pace to run into and he’s not likely overmatched for his stakes debut. His strong recent bullet work suggests he’s an improving three year old that could surprise.Arkansas Derby Picks 2020
Kim French at PlayPicks.com offers her predictions for the 2020 Arkansas Derby with betting odds, post positions and picks for both divisions.Arkansas Derby trends and past winners
Oaklawn Park has a long stretch run, and since 2010 a number of big longshots have won the race with two of these deep closers from far back. Bob Baffert trained 2015 Arkansas Derby winner and Triple Crown Champion American Pharoah, who was the biggest favorite to win the Arkansas Derby at 1-9 odds. American Pharoah and 2004 Arkansas Derby winner Smarty Jones are the last two horses to win both the Arkansas Derby and Kentucky Derby. Three other Arkansas Derby winners in the last 20 years have won a Triple Crown race: Afleet Alex (2005) and Curlin (2007) won the Preakness, and Creator (2016) won the Belmont.
Current form has proven meaningful, as 12 of the last 13 Arkansas Derby winners finished first, second or third in their previous race. The last two Arkansas Derby winners both won the local prep Rebel Stakes. But 2019 winner Omaha Beach was scratched as the morning line favorite in the Kentucky Derby with a cough and didn’t return to racing until last fall. The 2018 Arkansas Derby winner Magnum Moon finished 19th in the Kentucky Derby and was then was retired after injuring himself in a June workout.
Four of the last five favorites have won the Arkansas Derby. Trainer Bob Baffert has the favorite in each division this year, and he’s trained the Arkansas Derby favorite in six of the last nine years while winning twice. Since 2006, eight Arkansas Derby favorites have won the race. Also, when considering Exacta, Trifecta and Superfecta wagers looking for a score, know that eight of the 22 horses to finish second or third in the Arkansas Derby since 2009 did so at double-digit odds. Longshot Laughing Fox (27-1) was a deep closer that just missed finishing third last year but completed the Superfecta.YearWinnerOddsPayoutTimeStyle2019Omaha Beach8/5*$5.401:49.91Front2018Magnum Moon4/5*$3.601:49.86Front2017Classic Empire9/5*$5.801:48.93Midpack2016Creator11/1$25.201:50.14Closer, far back2015American Pharoah1/9*$2.201:48.52Stalking2014Danza41/1$84.601:49.68Stalking2013Overanalyze7/2$9.401:51.94Midpack, off pace2012Bodemeister5/2*$6.801:48.71Front2011Archarcharch25/1$52.401:49.34Closer, far back2010Line of David17/1$36.601:49.37Front2009Papa Clem4/1$10.001:49.00Midpack2008Gayego2/1*$6.401:49.63Pressing2007Curlin4/5*$3.601:50.00Stalking2006Lawyer Ron3/5*$3.001:51.38Front
*Betting favoriteRebel Stakes Betting Odds: Derby Prep Preview
His imposing physique and blueblood pedigree stamped him with star potential, and he’s named for a champion.
The four-legged Nadal made an immediate impression on Bob Baffert, who considered him one of his best 2-year-olds. That was before Nadal’s career almost ended before it began.
The dark bay colt was lucky to avoid a serious injury in a trailer on the way from Los Alamitos last spring.
“I don’t know how he did it, but he got his hind leg over the divider, and he could have broken it,” Baffert said. “We had to stop on him and give him time to recover, and that’s why he didn’t run last year. But the time off did him good.”
Rebel Stakes Betting Odds: Nadal Is Favorite
Nadal justified his $700,000 purchase price in eye-catching wins at 6½ furlongs in a maiden special and at 7 furlongs in the San Vicente Stakes (G2), both at Santa Anita. The son of Blame and the Pulpit mare Ascending Angel will step up in class and distance Saturday at Oaklawn Park in 1 1/16-mile Rebel Stakes (G2). He drew the rail in a field of eight and will race without blinkers for the first time.
“We’re pretty excited about him. We know he’s really good,” Baffert said, “but he’ll have to prove it to me.”The field for the $1 million Rebel, from the rail out:HorseOddsNadal5-2Excession30-1Basin3-1Silver Prospector7-2No Parole8-1Three Technique7-2Coach Bahe30-1American Theorem6-1
Besides Nadal, only Silver Prospector and Basin, both trained by Steve Asmussen, have a graded-stakes win. Silver Prospector has two, including the 1 1/16-mile Southwest (G3) at Oaklawn, and shapes up as Nadal’s main competition.
Three Technique, owned by two-time Super Bowl-winning coach Bill Parcells, and undefeated Louisiana-bred No Parole look like the best of the others.
Nadal is very fast but doesn’t need the lead, and he proved he could win a fight in the San Vicente. Baffert was grinning that day as he spoke to jockey Joel Rosario in the winner’s circle. So was co-owner George Bolton.
“I’m extremely happy with what happened,” Bolton said. Louisiana derby results 2019. “I hope Rafael Nadal is just as proud of him as I am today.”Rebel Stakes Betting Odds: Qualifying Points
The San Vicente awarded no Kentucky Derby qualifying points, so Nadal needs to win (50 points) or run second (20) in Arkansas to get into good position on the list. He’s part of Baffert’s six-horse cavalry troop on the Triple Crown trail. The others are points leader Authentic (60), Thousand Words (25), Azul Coast (14), Eight Rings (10) and Charlatan (0).
Baffert owns the Rebel, in which he’s 6-for-12 with three seconds the past 10 years. In 2015, he used it to launch American Pharoah’s Triple Crown sweep.
Like Baffert, Southern California-based handicapper Jeff Siegel has an uncanny ability to assess young horses. Siegel was on board from the start with Baffert’s 2018 Triple Crown hero, Justify, and he’s been a Nadal fan since his Jan. 19 debut. His reaction: “This colt could be any kind.”Here’s Siegel’s take on Nadal on his xbtv.com blog:Rebel Stakes Post Position Draw
Busiest racecourses in uk newspapers. “Won his debut with a stakes-quality speed figure; returned three weeks later in the San Vicente, overcoming severe pressure and torrid early fractions to find the necessary energy to win; bred to stay the Derby trip; strong, powerful colt can handle hard training if that’s what it takes.”
Baffert doesn’t baby his horses, especially when trying to make up for lost time. Rushing Justify paid off as he became the first Derby winner since Apollo in 1882 that didn’t race at 2.
Nadal tuned up for the Rebel with a sharp 5 furlongs in 59.60 seconds Sunday at Santa Anita. He left his workmate far behind on the gallop out, so he should be wired to run inspired.
“We’re laying foundation,” Baffert said. “We’re basically running him into shape like I did with Justify. He could easily be that kind of horse. I don’t know about that, but we’ll just have to wait and see.”
If you enjoyed this piece on Rebel Stakes Betting Odds, check out other amazing articles at our horse racing news section, and also, sign up to get an outstanding welcome bonus!2020 Rebel Stakes
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Rebel Stakes second leg of southwest was 5 lengths faster than first leg; Adirondack King was closing in fast on second leg. With a better post position and with the extra furlong, he is a contender in the Rebel. Post time for the 1 1/8-mile race is 6:48 and its Race 11 on the card. The Oaklawn Stakes can be seen on Fox Sports Saturday at the Races on FS1 from 1:30 - 7 p.m. EDT or on TVG Trackside Live.
*Rebel Stakes Post Position Draw
*2020 Rebel Stakes
For the first time ever, the Arkansas Derby will be run in split divisions on Saturday, May 2. The entry list for the Grade 1 race at Oaklawn Park grew to 22, but following two early week scratches, each race will have 10 runners. Churchill Downs will grant full qualifying points (100-40-20-10) for both divisions toward the rescheduled Kentucky Derby on Sept. 5.
The $1 million purse will be split in half this year with each division paying out $500,000.
Some Kentucky Derby contenders and horses to watch are running in this year’s Arkansas Derby. As the racing schedule changes and more preps added before the Kentucky Derby, we’ll get a chance to watch some of these runners again and evaluate their chances for making a Run for the Roses.Arkansas Derby key details
The Arkansas Derby (G1) will have 10 horses in each of the two divisions. The winner of each division race will earn 100 points to secure a spot in the starting gate for the rescheduled 2020 Kentucky Derby on Sept. 5. The Arkansas Derby runner-up may also secure a spot with 40 Derby points added to their total.
*Date: Saturday, May 2, 2020
*Time: Race 11 and Race 13 with Race 11 starting at 6:29 ET
*TV: 4-8 p.m. ET on TVG’s “Trackside Live” airing on its home network and also simulcast by NBCSN
*Online and Mobile: NBC Sports App and streamed live on NBCsports.com/live and TVG
*Track and Location: Oaklawn Park, Hot Springs, Arkansas
*Distance: 1 1/8 miles on dirt
*Field: Two divisions each with 10 3-year-old Thoroughbreds
*Prize Pool: $500,000 for each division with $320,000 to winners
*Road to the Kentucky Derby Points: 100-40-20-10 to top four finishers in each divisionArkansas Derby betting odds and post positionsDivision 1 (Post time 6:29 p.m. ET)PostHorseOpening OddsJockeyTrainer1Charlatan1/1Martin GarciaBob Baffert2My Friends Beer20/1Decan ClannonJeremiah O’Dwyer3Mo Mosa30/1Kendrick CarmoucheMike Maker4Gouverneur Morris9/2John VelazquezTodd Pletcher5Jungle Runner30/1Tyler BazeSteve Asmussen7Anneau d’ Or6/1Juan HernandezBlaine Wright8Winning Impression15/1Julien LeparouxDallas Stewart9Crypto Cash20/1Corey LanerieKen McPeek10Basin8/1Ricardo Santana, Jr.Steve AsmussenDivision 2 (Post time 7:43 p.m. ET)PostHorse Opening OddsJockeyTrainer1Finnick the Fierce15/1Martin GarciaRey Hernandez3Storm the Court6/1Flavien PratPeter Eurton4King Guillermo3/1Samuel Camacho, Jr.Juan Carlos Avila5Nadal5/2Joel RosarioBob Baffert6Code Runner50/1Stewart ElliottSteve Asmussen7Silver Prospector10/1Ricardo Santana, Jr.Steve Asmussen9Taishan15/1David CohenRichard Baltas10Farmington Road12/1Javier CastellanoTodd Pletcher11Wells Bayou7/2Florent GerouxBrad CoxArkansas Derby scratches
Following the early week post position draw, four horses have been scratched from the Arkansas Derby. Shooters Shoot (6/1) came down with a fever and caught a virus, which will keep him out of the first division along with Wrecking Crew (20/1). Fast Enough (12/1) was scratched from the second division after reaggravating a shin injury. Longshot Saratogian (50/1) was also removed from the field There are no alternates, so each division will have nine runners.Best Arkansas Derby betting siteOn DepositUse Promo Code LSRTVGHow to bet the Arkansas Derby
The best place to bet on this weekend’s races is on the TVG app, where you’ll receive a risk-free bet of up to $300 when you make your first deposit. That means if you lose your bet, you’ll get refunded in the form of a free bet bonus. The bonus must be used within 30 days of the conclusion of the race.
TVG offers an iOS app for Apple devices and a sleek browser site for Android users. If TVG is legal in your state, you can place your bets right on your phone, tablet or personal computer and follow the action online.Arkansas Derby betting strategy
Late Pick 3 and Pick 4 bettors can tie in both Arkansas Derby divisions along with the Grade II Oaklawn Handicap between them in Race 12. The Oaklawn Handicap features last year’s Kentucky Derby favorite Improbable and Tacitus, who finished third in the Kentucky Derby and second in the Belmont Stakes last year. Tacitus has finished in the money in 9 of 10 starts in America.
In the Arkansas Derby, Division 2 favorite Nadal (5/2) is undefeated and 3-for-3 having won his last race the Rebel Stakes (G2) wire-to-wire over a sloppy (sealed) surface by three quarters length as the 4/5 favorite. Nadal is trained by Bob Baffert and ships in from Santa Anita where he won his first two races including the San Vicente (G2) in February. He’ll be tough running on or near the lead, but will be pressed by Louisiana Derbywinner Wells Bayou (7/2), who’s not likely to hold up on the front this time going long. And any uneven run or uncomfortable pace will set up an off the pace horse to catch Nadal and run down fading Wells Bayou.
Silver Prospector (10/1) also runs in Division 2. He was a well-beaten sixth in the Rebel, but won the Southwest Stakes (G3) over a fast track. Silver Prospector also won the Kentucky Jockey Club (G1) last November over third-place finisher Tiz the Law, who won the 2020 Florida Derby. Deep closer Finnick the Fierce (15/1) shouldn’t be overlooked in the Division 2 race having run a close second behind Silver Prospector in the Kentucky Jockey Club and fourth in the Lecomte (G3). Storm the Court (6/1) won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) but has failed to impress as a 3-year-old. He finished fourth in the San Vicente (G2), never challenging the winner Nadal.
King Guillermo (3/1) presents a strong challenger in here and can sit just off the pace. He won his graded stakes debut as a longshot (49/1) in the Tampa Bay Derby as bettors wrote him off as a turf horse not capable on dirt. But this son of Uncle Mo is improving and likely legit.
Trainer Todd Pletcher has won a record five Arkansas Derbys and he’ll saddle Farmington Road (12/1), a deep closer who finished second in the Oaklawn Stakes on April 11 breaking from the outside post 13. He was five lengths clear of Basin (8/1), who’s a contender in the Division 1 race. Farmington Road also had a deep run to finish fourth in the Risen Star over a deep Fair Grounds track. Pletcher and the trainer to his outside, Brad Cox (with Wells Bayou), are both masters of masking how their horses are fed. We won’t go any deeper on that discussion, but it’s important to know these horses get better and stronger and can improve at the longer distances if fit and healthy. Farmington Road is fit and improving, and he also ran 1 1/8 mile races in each of his last two starts and was closing hard and making up ground in both races. Farmington Road is a good bet in exotics and a has a chance to pull the upset.
In the Division 1 race, favorite Charlatan (1/1) makes his stakes debut for trainer Bob Baffert and is 2-for-2 with both wins at Santa Anita. While Charlton is taking most the money, its another longshot that can close strong from off the pace to catch a piece of the board. Winning Impressions (15-1) rallied from the back and crossed the finish line first in front of Finnick the Fierce in an early April Allowance race at Oaklawn, but was disqualified for drifting in late to cost the favorite a piece. Winning Impression should have a solid pace to run into and he’s not likely overmatched for his stakes debut. His strong recent bullet work suggests he’s an improving three year old that could surprise.Arkansas Derby Picks 2020
Kim French at PlayPicks.com offers her predictions for the 2020 Arkansas Derby with betting odds, post positions and picks for both divisions.Arkansas Derby trends and past winners
Oaklawn Park has a long stretch run, and since 2010 a number of big longshots have won the race with two of these deep closers from far back. Bob Baffert trained 2015 Arkansas Derby winner and Triple Crown Champion American Pharoah, who was the biggest favorite to win the Arkansas Derby at 1-9 odds. American Pharoah and 2004 Arkansas Derby winner Smarty Jones are the last two horses to win both the Arkansas Derby and Kentucky Derby. Three other Arkansas Derby winners in the last 20 years have won a Triple Crown race: Afleet Alex (2005) and Curlin (2007) won the Preakness, and Creator (2016) won the Belmont.
Current form has proven meaningful, as 12 of the last 13 Arkansas Derby winners finished first, second or third in their previous race. The last two Arkansas Derby winners both won the local prep Rebel Stakes. But 2019 winner Omaha Beach was scratched as the morning line favorite in the Kentucky Derby with a cough and didn’t return to racing until last fall. The 2018 Arkansas Derby winner Magnum Moon finished 19th in the Kentucky Derby and was then was retired after injuring himself in a June workout.
Four of the last five favorites have won the Arkansas Derby. Trainer Bob Baffert has the favorite in each division this year, and he’s trained the Arkansas Derby favorite in six of the last nine years while winning twice. Since 2006, eight Arkansas Derby favorites have won the race. Also, when considering Exacta, Trifecta and Superfecta wagers looking for a score, know that eight of the 22 horses to finish second or third in the Arkansas Derby since 2009 did so at double-digit odds. Longshot Laughing Fox (27-1) was a deep closer that just missed finishing third last year but completed the Superfecta.YearWinnerOddsPayoutTimeStyle2019Omaha Beach8/5*$5.401:49.91Front2018Magnum Moon4/5*$3.601:49.86Front2017Classic Empire9/5*$5.801:48.93Midpack2016Creator11/1$25.201:50.14Closer, far back2015American Pharoah1/9*$2.201:48.52Stalking2014Danza41/1$84.601:49.68Stalking2013Overanalyze7/2$9.401:51.94Midpack, off pace2012Bodemeister5/2*$6.801:48.71Front2011Archarcharch25/1$52.401:49.34Closer, far back2010Line of David17/1$36.601:49.37Front2009Papa Clem4/1$10.001:49.00Midpack2008Gayego2/1*$6.401:49.63Pressing2007Curlin4/5*$3.601:50.00Stalking2006Lawyer Ron3/5*$3.001:51.38Front
*Betting favoriteRebel Stakes Betting Odds: Derby Prep Preview
His imposing physique and blueblood pedigree stamped him with star potential, and he’s named for a champion.
The four-legged Nadal made an immediate impression on Bob Baffert, who considered him one of his best 2-year-olds. That was before Nadal’s career almost ended before it began.
The dark bay colt was lucky to avoid a serious injury in a trailer on the way from Los Alamitos last spring.
“I don’t know how he did it, but he got his hind leg over the divider, and he could have broken it,” Baffert said. “We had to stop on him and give him time to recover, and that’s why he didn’t run last year. But the time off did him good.”
Rebel Stakes Betting Odds: Nadal Is Favorite
Nadal justified his $700,000 purchase price in eye-catching wins at 6½ furlongs in a maiden special and at 7 furlongs in the San Vicente Stakes (G2), both at Santa Anita. The son of Blame and the Pulpit mare Ascending Angel will step up in class and distance Saturday at Oaklawn Park in 1 1/16-mile Rebel Stakes (G2). He drew the rail in a field of eight and will race without blinkers for the first time.
“We’re pretty excited about him. We know he’s really good,” Baffert said, “but he’ll have to prove it to me.”The field for the $1 million Rebel, from the rail out:HorseOddsNadal5-2Excession30-1Basin3-1Silver Prospector7-2No Parole8-1Three Technique7-2Coach Bahe30-1American Theorem6-1
Besides Nadal, only Silver Prospector and Basin, both trained by Steve Asmussen, have a graded-stakes win. Silver Prospector has two, including the 1 1/16-mile Southwest (G3) at Oaklawn, and shapes up as Nadal’s main competition.
Three Technique, owned by two-time Super Bowl-winning coach Bill Parcells, and undefeated Louisiana-bred No Parole look like the best of the others.
Nadal is very fast but doesn’t need the lead, and he proved he could win a fight in the San Vicente. Baffert was grinning that day as he spoke to jockey Joel Rosario in the winner’s circle. So was co-owner George Bolton.
“I’m extremely happy with what happened,” Bolton said. Louisiana derby results 2019. “I hope Rafael Nadal is just as proud of him as I am today.”Rebel Stakes Betting Odds: Qualifying Points
The San Vicente awarded no Kentucky Derby qualifying points, so Nadal needs to win (50 points) or run second (20) in Arkansas to get into good position on the list. He’s part of Baffert’s six-horse cavalry troop on the Triple Crown trail. The others are points leader Authentic (60), Thousand Words (25), Azul Coast (14), Eight Rings (10) and Charlatan (0).
Baffert owns the Rebel, in which he’s 6-for-12 with three seconds the past 10 years. In 2015, he used it to launch American Pharoah’s Triple Crown sweep.
Like Baffert, Southern California-based handicapper Jeff Siegel has an uncanny ability to assess young horses. Siegel was on board from the start with Baffert’s 2018 Triple Crown hero, Justify, and he’s been a Nadal fan since his Jan. 19 debut. His reaction: “This colt could be any kind.”Here’s Siegel’s take on Nadal on his xbtv.com blog:Rebel Stakes Post Position Draw
Busiest racecourses in uk newspapers. “Won his debut with a stakes-quality speed figure; returned three weeks later in the San Vicente, overcoming severe pressure and torrid early fractions to find the necessary energy to win; bred to stay the Derby trip; strong, powerful colt can handle hard training if that’s what it takes.”
Baffert doesn’t baby his horses, especially when trying to make up for lost time. Rushing Justify paid off as he became the first Derby winner since Apollo in 1882 that didn’t race at 2.
Nadal tuned up for the Rebel with a sharp 5 furlongs in 59.60 seconds Sunday at Santa Anita. He left his workmate far behind on the gallop out, so he should be wired to run inspired.
“We’re laying foundation,” Baffert said. “We’re basically running him into shape like I did with Justify. He could easily be that kind of horse. I don’t know about that, but we’ll just have to wait and see.”
If you enjoyed this piece on Rebel Stakes Betting Odds, check out other amazing articles at our horse racing news section, and also, sign up to get an outstanding welcome bonus!2020 Rebel Stakes
Register here: http://gg.gg/vcvc7
https://diarynote.indered.space
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